Chance is history-dependent.
Chance and chance alone has a message for us.
So, there’s a chance that actually nothing in particular happens.
I see a chance of despair, of wretchedness ... or I see a chance of bliss, what bliss!...
Chance should connect with possibility.
Suppose that something is put down to chance.
“If nothing else, you get that second chance with them — and in some cases that third or fourth chance,” she said.
Jerry from Texas: “A 95 percent chance that Clinton could have won means that there was a one in 20 chance that Trump could have won.
Similarly, CNN forecast a 91% chance of victory — and Reuters said Clinton had a 90% chance of winning just two days before the election.
England have a 59 per cent chance of making the World Cup final, and a 30 per cent chance of lifting the trophy according to data from 21st Club.
To get clear on the connections and differences between chance and randomness, it would be good first to have some idea of what chance and randomness amount to.
The two previous problems notwithstanding, many have found the most compelling cases of chance without randomness to be situations in which there is a biased chance process.
Apart from those urging Darwin to give up chance in favor of design, he had pressure to abandon chance from another direction, the evolutionary philosophy of Jean-Baptiste Lamarck.
There is widespread agreement amongst native speakers of English over when ‘chance’ applies to a particular case, and this agreement at least indicates that there is a considerable body of ordinary belief about chance.
Residents say they are not sure where the name came from but many repeat a story about the first white settlers calling it Last Chance because it was the state’s last refuge for grizzly bears — and the last chance to hunt them.
Nevertheless if such a sequence of outcomes did occur, it would have happened by chance—assuming, plausibly, that if each individual outcome happens by chance, the complex event composed by all of them also happens by chance.
Treasure chests in sunken shipwrecks have about an eight percent chance of holding a map; the chest in a stronghold's library has about a 11 percent chance; and the cartographer's chest in a village has an almost 50 percent chance.
However, as Hájek notes, this conclusion makes it difficult to see how chance could guide credence, and it remains an open question whether a relativised theory of chance that meets the platitudes concerning chance can be developed.
Notice that in the above quote we first get a substitution of ‘random’ for ‘chance’ in the phrases ‘random variation’ and ‘chance variation’, and then at least the suggestion that the concept of ‘random drift’ can be characterized as ‘changes in frequencies of variations due to chance’, where the contrast class consists of similar changes due to natural selection.
The Negro baby born in America today, regardless of the section of the nation in which he is born, has about one-half as much chance of completing a high school as a white baby born in the same place on the same day, one-third as much chance of completing college, one-third as much chance of becoming a professional man, twice as much chance of becoming unemployed, about one-seventh as much chance of earning $10,000 a year, a life expectancy which is seven years shorter, and the prospects of earning only half as much.
- a possibility due to a favorable combination of circumstances
- be the case by chance
Example: I chanced to meet my old friend in the street
- occurring or appearing or singled out by chance
- take a risk in the hope of a favorable outcome
- an unknown and unpredictable phenomenon that causes an event to result one way rather than another
- a risk involving danger
Example: you take a chance when you let her drive
- come upon, as if by accident; meet with
- a measure of how likely it is that some event will occur; a number expressing the ratio of favorable cases to the whole number of cases possible
- the possibility of future success
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The Negro baby born in America today regardless of the section of the nation in which he is born has about one-half as much chance of completing a high school as a white baby born in the same place on the same day one-third as much chance of completing college one-third as much chance of becoming a professional man twice as much chance of becoming unemployed about one-seventh as much chance of earning 10000 a year a life expectancy which is seven years shorter and the prospects of earning only half as much